Signs are that Porter is in Financial Trouble

 
Rob:
 
Look at the facts. You find my claim that Porter is failing, "amusing," but look at the facts. The prospectus that the company issued when Porter attempted to get a public listing on the stock exchange showed that the company has consistently lost money since its inception and there is no indication that things are getting better. 
  • The prospectus disclosed that by March 31st of 2010 Porter had accumulated losses of $44,505,000.
  • Despite the 20% and 30% discounts, the trend of the number of Porter passengers over the last six months has been downward.
  • December revenue passenger miles of 57.9 million are a marked decline from the peak months of July and August - 61.4 and 63.7 million respectively. A drop in passenger loads of -9.1% since August. I said that their passenger numbers had "plateaued."  A more accurate word might be "declined."
  • Air Canada will begin operations out of the Island Airport in May of this year.  The competition is bound to drain away passengers and revenue from Porter.
There are two other telling signs that the company is doing poorly.  The Porter IPO in 2010 was cancelled.  That is a rare occurrence .  Usually institutional buyers of shares have been lined up long before the company is listed on the stock exchange.  The only reason for the cancellation is that the brokers could not find buyers of the shares.  That means that sophisticated analysts and brokers on Bay Street recommended that their customers not invest in Porter because they have no confidence in the company's future.
 
Second, a recent Globe story by Brent Jang said that two of the original investors in the company want out.  These are insiders; investors who have detailed knowledge about the company.  Why do they want their money back?
 
I can't predict the future any more than anyone else, but I can read the writing on the wall.
 
Bill Freeman





 

 

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